Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004271 0.004495 0.004726 0.004982 0.005256 0.005544 0.005867
2025-08-24 0.003868 0.004198 0.004553 0.004963 0.005426 0.005935 0.006539
2025-08-31 0.003603 0.003991 0.004418 0.004928 0.005523 0.006201 0.007037
2025-09-07 0.003382 0.003804 0.004281 0.004862 0.005560 0.006376 0.007417
2025-09-14 0.003197 0.003643 0.004155 0.004793 0.005575 0.006513 0.007744
2025-09-21 0.003080 0.003551 0.004101 0.004800 0.005674 0.006749 0.008197
2025-09-28 0.002897 0.003370 0.003929 0.004649 0.005566 0.006713 0.008292
2025-10-05 0.002805 0.003294 0.003880 0.004646 0.005638 0.006905 0.008690
2025-10-12 0.002762 0.003274 0.003896 0.004723 0.005813 0.007236 0.009291
2025-10-19 0.002671 0.003190 0.003828 0.004687 0.005836 0.007361 0.009611
2025-10-26 0.002592 0.003118 0.003771 0.004660 0.005868 0.007498 0.009951
2025-11-02 0.002514 0.003044 0.003709 0.004624 0.005883 0.007608 0.010257
2025-11-09 0.002487 0.003035 0.003731 0.004700 0.006058 0.007954 0.010938
2025-11-16 0.002423 0.002976 0.003684 0.004683 0.006099 0.008111 0.011339
2025-11-23 0.002358 0.002913 0.003630 0.004651 0.006117 0.008231 0.011690
2025-11-30 0.002286 0.002838 0.003557 0.004590 0.006090 0.008281 0.011929
2025-12-07 0.002217 0.002765 0.003484 0.004526 0.006054 0.008315 0.012141
2025-12-14 0.002177 0.002731 0.003462 0.004533 0.006122 0.008509 0.012629
2025-12-21 0.002088 0.002626 0.003341 0.004393 0.005966 0.008347 0.012503
2025-12-28 0.002050 0.002592 0.003316 0.004390 0.006014 0.008508 0.012942
2026-01-04 0.002039 0.002593 0.003340 0.004461 0.006178 0.008861 0.013740
2026-01-11 0.001994 0.002547 0.003296 0.004428 0.006178 0.008946 0.014064
2026-01-18 0.001955 0.002506 0.003258 0.004403 0.006191 0.009052 0.014431